A Causal Model of State Welfare Expenditures
In: The journal of politics: JOP, Band 37, Heft 2, S. 392-416
ISSN: 1468-2508
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In: The journal of politics: JOP, Band 37, Heft 2, S. 392-416
ISSN: 1468-2508
In: The journal of politics: JOP, Band 37, Heft 2, S. 392-416
ISSN: 0022-3816
Political science literature concerning political system output, or public expenditures, studies the nature of these expenditures as a function of various independent variables. V. O. Key, Jr. in SOUTHERN POLITICS (New York, NY: Alfred A. Knopf, Vintage Books, 1949) & D. Lockard in NEW ENGLAND STATE POLITICS (Princeton, NJ: Princeton U Press, 1959) hold that political variables, especially interparty competition, exert the primary influence; other schools of thought posit that main influence is exerted through SE determinants. Statistics & causual ordering are 2 criteria commonly employed to evaluate independent variables in their influence on public expenditure, however, use of these means often proves inaccurate & unrealistic. A path analysis model is presented & tested which has the stated aim to "...accurately reflect the theoretical propositions on determinants of policy outputs first advanced by Key & later refined by Lockard." 6 variables--industrialization, income, ethnicity, interparty competition, voter turnout, & welfare expenditures--are analyzed with regard to 15 possible relationships between them. Extensive description & explanation accompany the model of the 15 path coefficients. 2 areas for further research are delineated: (1) time series studies of crucial variables, & (2) empirical testing of basic assumptions concerning policy decision-making. 5 Figures, 2 Tables. C. Grindle.
In: The Western political quarterly, Band 44, Heft 2, S. 423-432
ISSN: 1938-274X
In: Policy studies review: PSR, Band 8, Heft 2, S. 288
ISSN: 0278-4416
In: Review of policy research, Band 8, Heft 2, S. 288-299
ISSN: 1541-1338
This study examines the relationship between measures of expenditures and personnel on executive decision making on the budget in Missouri, FY 1979–1985. Specifically, it focuses on the interaction of "macro" and "micro" variables in the governor's budget recommendations, as demonstrated by revealing the conditions under which correlations between expenditures and personnel recommendations are weak and strong. The results indicate that attention to dollars is not enough to explain state policy decisions and that strong correlations are not automatic between the measures, which are influenced by internal as well as external constraints.